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April 1993 "BASIS", newsletter of the Bay Area Skeptics
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         Bay Area Skeptics Information Sheet
                   Vol. 12, No. 5
                Editor:  Chris Muir



                   APRIL FOOLS
                   Chris Muir

        Chris Muir is the 1989 winner of the James Burke
     Lookalike contest. He is also the semi-illiterate editor
     of a vile, contemptible, disgusting little pipsqueak
     newsletter, the title of which we have the good manners
     not to mention.

   Every Year, on April 1.st (or soon thereafter), some people like to
play silly little pranks. At Sun Microsystems, they do something with
the boss' car and lots of water. Newspapers and radio announcers produce
unbelievable stories, and too many people believe them. (Of course the
supermarket tabloids treat every day as April Fools.)

   This year, a radio announcer said that the space shuttle would land
at the local airport. People jammed the road to go see it, ignoring the
fact that there was no shuttle flight on that day, and the airport was
too small! The East Bay Skeptics published a story about a homeopathic
researcher, "Dr Lizzy," getting nominated for a Nobel prize for using
NMR scanning for homeopathic research!

The April fools prank this year in BASIS is having the March issue
distributed in April! (Well, that`s better than admitting we had a late
start and a very slow printer.) If the April issue is late, we'll blame
taxes and the IRS.

Of course, there are those news articles that we wish were Aprils
fools, but aren't:

* The President of Peru, Albert Fujimori, said: "When there is
something that does not concern the national interest, I consult my
seer." The seer was not named. (San Jose Mercury News, April 2, 1993)
[Who does he consult for national interest questions? -Ed.]

* Increase bust size through hypnosis? Michael Stivers, founder of the
Professional Hypnosis and Research Center in Largo, Fla. said, "I use
hypnosis to take my clients back to puberty, where they visualize their
breasts growing again. The therapy tricks the body into reactivating
hormone production." He claims success in 75% of patients. (San Jose
Mercury News, April 2, 1993)

* "A Current Affair" showed how Susan Stone allegedly took Bill
MacDonald away from his wife. Naomi McDonald said that Bill's abrupt
departure caused her miscarriage. Why was Stone playing homewrecker?
According to Naomi, a psychic told Stone that she and Bill were lovers
in a past life.

* 10% sought alternative medicine in 1990. Americans spent $10.3
billion for alternative medical care, compared with $12.8 billion on
hospital bills. (from a study published in the New England Journal of
Medicine, reviewed in the San Jose Mercury News, January 28, 1993)

* A Manhattan doctor who thinks he was abducted by aliens and believes
UFOs are part of a Nazi plot to eliminate Jews can continue treating
patients, the Board of Regents ruled yesterday. (According to an article
in the New York Post, Nov.21, mentioned in the Skeptics UFO Newsletter,
Jan. 1993.)

* Pete Wilson's nominee for Superintendent of Public Education, Sen.
Marian Bergeson, opposed Prop. 98, supported the governor's attempt to
cut $2,3 billion from the school budget, and voted against legislation
to give school districts more authority to raise local revenues. (from
article by Willie Brown in the San Jose Mercury News, March 23, 1993)

* Sofia P. Pandazides flunked the exam for her public school teaching
certificate. She filed a lawsuit, claiming that the test was unfair
because she is "learning impaired," and that she should have unlimited
time for the test. She lost her lawsuit. (from San Jose Mercury News
April 21, 1993).



                        FROM THE BATTLEFIELD

       (The following letters were sent by e-mail to Geller
     watchers around the world. I'd like to thank Rick Moen for
     bringing these wonderful letters to my attention. -Ed)

From: James Randi (12/18/92)
   I've just been informed that Geller has entirely dropped the case
against Prometheus et al. in Florida. Just recently, he was saying he'd
settle for $50,000 instead of millions, and now he wants to drop it all.
Verrrry interesting!

From: James Randi (3/24/93)
   This morning I was notified by the media that a Japanese court has
awarded Geller 500,000 Yen as a result of his lawsuit there against me.
That's $4,310 (just 1/3 of one percent of what he demanded!) and I'm
appealing that decision, since I never had a chance to present my case
to the court. I responded to the summons last year by saying that I
could not afford to retain a Japanese lawyer, but I never heard
*anything* from the system. Then the media started calling this morning.
No one, not Geller's lawyers nor the court clerk there, have ever
responded to me. Even now, I only know of all this from the media.
   Eppur si muove . . .

From James Randi (3/22/93)
   On March 16 in Federal Court for the District of Columbia, the
Honorable Stanley S. Harris ordered that Mr. Uri Geller must pay, by
April 16th, the sum of $106,433,97 to CSICOP, in satisfaction of
CSICOP's action for payment of fees and costs incurred as a result of
Mr. Geller's suit against James Randi & CSICOP.
   Any fees and/or costs incurred by CSICOP in the period since their
action for satisfaction, that is, from June 30th, 1992 to the present,
may also be required of Mr. Geller. That might amount to several tens of
thousands of dollars more.
This order is of course of great interest to others involved in lawsuits
with Mr. Geller.

     The scoreboard now stands:
   *Geller suit brought against Timex:           Timex wins.
   *Geller suit #1 brought against James Randi:  dismissed.
   *Geller suit #2 brought against James Randi:  dismissed.
   *Geller suit #3 brought against James Randi
    and CSICOP (the case referred to above)   :  pending.
   *Geller suit #4 brought against James Randi
    (Japan)                                   :  pending
   *Byrd suit brought against James Randi,
    trial date set for May 25.



                        MANTRA AWAY CRIME

                           Cris Muir

   As noted in a San Francisco Chronicle article (Dec. 23d) the
Maharishi Mahesh Yogi has offered to rid several cities of crime by
having some of his followers meditate (for a fee).
   He placed ads in the San Jose Mercury News, trying to sell his
program there. All he wants is 10 cents per person per day - about $53.4
million per year! City manager Les White said the offer was interesting,
but he wouldn't contact the Maharishi anytime soon. Eliminating crime is
a worthwhile goal, but there are some problems:
   (1) The 10 cents per person per day fee would add up to millions of
dollars per month for large cities, and most cities are financially
strapped.
   (2) The Maharishi's "transcendental meditation" program is based on
Hindu Vedic scriptures. No city, state or federal government could fund
this program without violating the constitutional separation of church
and state. (A nongovernmental citizens group could fund it privately, if
they wished.)
   (3) Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof, and the
Maharishi's claims are most extraordinary. What proof is there? Is there
a small town or tiny village anywhere rendered crime free by the Yogi's
technique?
   Existing evidence seems to indicate otherwise. India, the place where
Transcendental Meditation originated, has not been rendered crime free,
and is now wracked by religious riots unknown in the U.S. It would be a
poor bargain if we got religious wars in exchange for a reduction in
crime.


                     BAS APRIL MEETING
        The "Hot Hand" fallacy and all it implies

Speaker: Lee Dembart
Date: Wednesday, April 28th, 7:30 p.m.
Place: El Cerrito Public Library, 6510 Stockton Ave., El Cerrito.
Admittance and parking are free.

    Lee Dembart is a former reporter at The New York Times, science
writer, editorial writer and book critic at The Los Angeles Times, and
editorial page editor of The San Francisco Examiner. In 1987, he
received a Responsibility in Journalism Award from the CSICOP. He holds
a J.D. from Stanford (1992) and teaches Mass Communications at UC
Berkeley.

   Lee Dembart's statement:
   Sports fans will tell you that a basketball player gets a "hot hand"
and makes several shots in a row, or goes cold and can't make a shot.
Similarly, baseball hitters have streaks and slumps. Though fans believe
that these different performances reflect some difference in the
athlete, the fact is that they are nothing more than normal and
predictable statistical variations, indistingushable from tossing coins.
Random events occur randomly, which means that they are not evenly
distributed in time or space. Since they are not evenly distributed,
they seem to bunch up and spread out. But these interpretations are not
in the data; they are in our minds. After we "see" the pattern, we look
for an explanation. So we try to find the cause of a "cancer cluster,"
which probably is just a statistical variation. There is no cause
because there is no cluster.
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BAY AREA SKEPTICS
17723 Buti Park Ct.
Castro Valley, CA 94546

Norman Sperling: Chair
Vice Chair: OPEN
Wilma Russell: Secretary
Lucinda Ben-David: Treasurer

Barbara Bowman, Shawn Carlson, Larry Loebig, Rick Moen, Cris Muir,
Eugenie Scott, Kate Talbot: Directors.


BASIS STAFF:
Chris Muir: Editor
Wilma Russell: Distribution
Kate Talbot: Meeting Coordinator

SUBSCRIPTIONS:
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label shows the month/year of expiration. Please renew well in advance.
"I" means inquiry or courtesy copy.

MATERIAL FOR PUBLICATION:
Editor
1443 Hervey Ln.
San Jose, CA 95125

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This heavily cut down electronic version of the Bay Area Skeptics
Information Sheet for April 1993 has been copied by hand from the
printed version by Ottar Sande at the Norwegian Bulletin Board for
Skeptics, Firda BBS. tel +47-57-65435/+47-57-66564. 
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